Investment Outlook (Q4/2016)

The Investment Outlook for the fourth quarter of 2016 has been published.
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Macro Environment

  • Slightly higher inflation in developed markets
  • Uncertainty about future rate hikes by the Fed keep markets in limbo
  • Growth in China is stabilizing while Europe (especially Italy and France) show signs of weakness again
  • Brexit uncertainty remains

Outlook and Markets

  • The global economy appears to be nearing an inflection point, favoring credit and equity relative to long-term government bonds
  • FED rate hike for December still likely in our opinion
  • BoE and ECB on hold for the time being
  • Productivity growth continues to be located in emerging markets rather than in developed economies 
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